Finding Foreclosure Listings in Underwater Markets
Monday, October 12th, 2009Finding foreclosure listings in underwater markets can result in profitable investments for individuals who can afford to wait for several years before they can sell their acquired properties at high profit levels.
According to Karen Weaver, director of securitization research at Deutsche Bank Securities, investors can find a lot of severely underwater mortgages in several areas of California, Nevada and Florida. She said that in many parts of these three states, home values have gone down sharply for as many as 75 percent of all mortgage borrowers in these areas.
Nationwide, 26 percent of all mortgage borrowers are underwater. They owe much more than the value of their homes.
In San Diego, home values have gone down by approximately 40 percent since the first quarter of 2006, based on data from the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index for 20 major metro areas.
For the past three months, house prices rebounded and returned to the price level in October 2002, the period before the housing boom. In July this year, home prices returned to the home price level in September 2003.
Because of the sharp home price declines, the number of homeowners deliberately walking out of their mortgages and letting their properties go into foreclosure have been increasing, giving more opportunities for finding foreclosure listings in areas hit by substantial price declines.
According to credit tracking firm Experian PLC and consulting firm Oliver Wyman, the number of homeowners committing strategic defaults has risen to 588,000 in 2008, a staggering increase of 128 percent. The firms reported that about 67 percent of those who deliberately defaulted lost their primary residences to foreclosure.
Strategic defaulters are those who deliberately stop paying their home loans, although they still have money to make their monthly payments, as shown in their monthly income and in their continued payments of other debts such as credit card debts.
According to analysts, these people deliberately defaulting make up around four percent of all underwater borrowers. The percentage could soar if home prices go down further, the analysts added.
Mortgage analysts added that the number of strategic defaulters could increase in states where deficiency judgments are prohibited. These states prohibit lenders from going after homeowners for the difference between the loan amount and the home sales proceeds.
For investors finding foreclosure listings, nonrecourse states such as California, Arizona, Oregon, Minnesota and Hawaii may offer more profitable real estate investment opportunities.




